All Reports


August 1, 2024

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Another quarter of beating the estimates and guiding to basically in-line revenue in Q3. A few things stand out: (i) the Shareholder Letter this time highlights initiatives to accelerate Platform revenue growth; (ii) The Roku…

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July 31, 2024

Better, but still a way to go; the story keeps evolving

By Vasily Karasyov

We think that in addition to the obvious task of proving that it can deliver on the guidance, DV is facing an additional challenge. It appears that the growth drivers are shifting and, as a…

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July 30, 2024

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Looks like Q2 print may be the first step in the turnaround of DV story. We would like to hear the management’s comments on the problem customers and early thoughts on what growth could be…

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July 25, 2024

Q2 FY24 estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are introducing Q2 FY24 estimates. We are not providing other forward estimates as we currently expect the acquisition by WMT to close before VZIO reports Q3. Q2 FY24: Smart TV shipments of 1.0m, Device segment…

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July 15, 2024

Model update

By Vasily Karasyov

Q1 FY25: We expect subscription revenue of $134m, marketplace & other revenue of $38m and total company revenue of $172m. We are modeling adjusted gross profit of $128m and non-GAAP operating income of $25m. FY25: We expect…

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June 28, 2024

Model update

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates ahead of Q2 report. We are adjusting our price target to $23 and maintain Buy rating. Q2 FY24: We are modeling Measurement revenue of $54m, up 19% Y/Y, Activation revenue…

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June 24, 2024

Pieces that can drive Grow Solutions segment’s recovery

By Vasily Karasyov

This is a corrected version of the note published today at 11:14am ET. Our price target and rating remain unchanged. We argue that: (i) Create Solutions revenue growth acceleration is a necessary but not a…

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June 24, 2024

Pieces that can drive Grow Solutions segment’s recovery

By Vasily Karasyov

We argue that: (i) Create Solutions revenue growth acceleration is a necessary but not a sufficient condition for the stock price recovery; (ii) without an improvement in the top line trend at Grow Solutions, especially…

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June 2, 2024

Upgrading to Buy; the sentiment bottomed, room for upside to estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are upgrading MGNI shares to Buy from Neutral and raising our 12 month price target to $17. We believe that the negative sentiment that weighed on the stock prior to the announcement of the…

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May 23, 2024

Updating estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model following Q4 FY24 report. Q1 FY25: We expect subscription revenue of $172m, marketplace & other revenue of $38m and total company revenue of $172m. We are modeling adjusted gross profit of…

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May 22, 2024

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Q4 results and Q1 FY25 guidance ahead of expectations, guidance for the full FY25 in line with our model but ahead of the consensus. Looks like the company expects a deceleration in Y/Y revenue growth…

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May 22, 2024

Updating estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model following Q1 report, our revised forecast is below. We are updating our price target to $12.50 and maintain Neutral rating. For Q2 FY24, we expect Connected TV revenue of $60m,…

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May 19, 2024

Quantifying the benefits of the ROKU – TTD partnership

By Vasily Karasyov

In this note we analyze the implications of the recently announced partnership between ROKU and TTD for the two stocks. We show that this development strengthens the case for an acceleration in ROKU Platform revenue…

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May 13, 2024

Updating estimates following Q1 Fy24

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model to reflect Q1 results. We are lowering our price target to $25 and maintain Neutral rating. we now expect the following results: Q2 FY24: We are modeling Create Solutions revenue…

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May 10, 2024

Updating estimates following Q1 FY24

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating estimates following Q1 report. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. We are now modeling Q2 revenue of $575m and Adjusted Ebitda of $224m. We expect full FY24 revenue of $2,391m and…

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