All Reports

If, as we expect, AXON 2 continues to drive revenue growth acceleration in the coming quarters, the current valuation multiple of 11x EV/FY24E Adjusted Ebitda will have to expand, in our view. The most likely…

We see the following main take aways from Q2 results and the management’s commentary: (i) the business is going well across the board, (ii) the company’s competitive position in the programmatic value chain is getting…

We believe the the guidance for Q3 revenue implies revenue ex-political growth acceleration to 25% from 23%. AS was the case in Q1, the guide may seem a touch more conservative than the Street is…

We are updating our model to reflect Q2 results and the guidance for Q3. We are lowering our price target to $7 and maintain Neutral rating. Q3 FY23: Smart TV shipments of 1.0m, Device segment revenue…

Device shipments and financials in line with expectations, Platform+ ahead but strength in advertising was telegraphed by the management during the quarter plus ROKU results were a decent read-through. Guidance looks soft but may reflect…

We don’t think that anyone doubts at this point that the company successfully transformed its business model to digital and that the digital-only subscribers goal is doable. The success of this transition was a bull…

Digital-only subs only slightly worse than expected but ad revenue and Ebitda well ahead, digital-only ARPU up Q/Q and Y/Y as expected plus a solid guidance for Q3. Looks like the stock should get credit…

We think yesterday’s stock price reaction will prove to be a buying opportunity. In our view, the question after Q2 print is: was it a view-changing event? We don’t believe that an in-line quarter and…

Total revenue is only ~$133m ahead of our estimate which is a smaller beat than usual with Activation revenue ahead nicely but Measurement revenue softer than expected. Adjusted Ebitda is better. Full year guidance unchanged….

We are updating our model following Q2 results. We are raising our price target to $94 to reflect updated estimates and the current EV/Gross Profit multiple and maintain Neutral rating. Our updated estimates are: Q3…

Another beat in the Platform segment. It seems that the forward commentary in the Shareholder Letter is a touch more optimistic this quarter: in addition to the now usual language about the macro uncertainty it…

We are updating the assumptions underlying our estimates for Q3 and Q4 to reflect the current advertising trends and the potential impact of the writers’ and actors’ strikes. As a result, our estimates for Platform…

We are updating our estimates ahead of Q1 FY24 report. Introducing Q1 FY24 estimates We expect subscription revenue of $120m, marketplace & other revenue of $27m and total company revenue of $147m. We are modeling…

In our view, APP stock still offers a relatively inexpensive valuation with an option on Software Platform revenue growth acceleration which should lead to upward estimates revisions and a re-rating. For our thesis to play…

The Street is currently focused on sizing up potential incremental revenue resulting from ROKU opening its ad inventory to outside programmatic demand. As we discuss below, this decision is unlikely to contribute materially in the…