Roku, Inc.


October 31, 2025

Updating estimates following Q3 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q3 FY25 report. We are raising our 12 month price target to $135. Q4 FY25 We expect Platform revenue of $1,90m and gross profit of $619m, Devices revenue of $161m…

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October 30, 2025

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Q3 results and the Q4 guide are supportive of the longer-term story but can prove to be not strong enough not to pressure the stock in the short term. We estimate the Platform segment revenue…

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September 2, 2025

One more Platform revenue growth driver to keep in mind

By Vasily Karasyov

In this note we take a closer look at a potential driver of Platform revenue growth that currently seems overshadowed by ROKU’s integration with DSPs. We believe that video advertising on the home screen, now…

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August 4, 2025

Updating estimates following Q2 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q2 FY25 report. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. Q3 FY25 We expect Platform revenue of $1,055m and gross profit of $538m, Devices revenue of $150m and gross profit…

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July 31, 2025

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Q2 results and the guide look in line with bulls’ expectations going into the print. Video advertising revenue came in better than the company’s expectations which should give the Street more conviction in estimates going…

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May 17, 2025

What the company is really telling us about FY25

By Vasily Karasyov

We believe that Roku’s updated guidance for the Platform segment’s gross margin in FY25 has positive implications for the revenue trajectory this year. Our analysis, detailed below, suggests that the change came as a result…

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May 2, 2025

Updating estimates following Q1 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q1 FY25 report. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. Q2 FY25 We expect Platform revenue of $941m and gross profit of $479m, Devices revenue of $130m and gross profit…

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May 1, 2025

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Q1 results in line, full FY25 for Platform revenue reaffirmed, some softness is now expected in the Devices segment due to the tariffs backdrop. We see the print as somewhat mixed with (i) no guide-down…

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February 15, 2025

Updating estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q4 FY24 report. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. Q1 FY25 We expect Platform revenue of $876m and gross profit of $463m, Devices revenue of $127m and gross profit…

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February 13, 2025

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

A long-expected good quarter with the results and guidance supporting the bull thesis. The Platform segment gross margin of 54.1% hints at another ASC 606 adjustment. ROKU provides guidance for full FY2025 for revenue above…

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January 20, 2025

Trying this one more time

By Vasily Karasyov

In our view ROKU’s business performance and the stock price diverged last year. We believe that this year, ROKU is even better positioned to take advantage of industry-wide tailwinds. Additionally, FY24 highlighted the durability of…

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October 31, 2024

Updating estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q3 report. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. Q4 FY24: We expect Platform revenue of $945m and gross profit of $500m, Devices revenue of $194m and gross profit of…

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October 30, 2024

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Lots of moving pieces against the backdrop of elevated expectations, we think the call will bring more clarity. The guidance for 14% Platform revenue growth in Q4 implies a ~1% deceleration v. Q3 but Q3…

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October 7, 2024

Acceleration of Platform revenue growth looks very doable

By Vasily Karasyov

In this note we show that an acceleration in Platform revenue growth in FY25 looks doable given the growth trajectory of the existing revenue streams and the opportunity presented by the partnership with TTD and…

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August 2, 2024

Updating estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q2 report. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. Q3 FY24: We expect Platform revenue of $851m and gross profit of $463m, Devices revenue of $159m and gross profit of…

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