Roku, Inc.


June 17, 2026

Downgrading to Neutral

By Vasily Karasyov

We are downgrading ROKU to Neutral following the announcement of its acquisition by FOXA. We regard upside as limited given the acquisition price per share.

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May 4, 2026

Updating estimates following Q1 FY26 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q1 FY26 report. We are raising our price target to $150 to reflect our uprated estimates. Q2 FY26 We expect Advertising revenue of $645m with a gross margin of…

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April 30, 2026

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

A strong report with additional details thanks to the new disclosure. A few things stand out in the Shareholder Letter; we will be looking for the management’s commentary and details on the call. First, ad…

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February 17, 2026

Updating estimates following Q4 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q4 FY25 report. Q1 FY26 We expect Platform revenue of $1,069m and gross profit of $551m, Devices revenue of $130m and gross profit of ($21m). Our estimate of total company…

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February 12, 2026

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

The ROKU story has been building up to a print/guide like this for a few quarters, in our view. The strong results and very strong guide were probably a surprise even for bulls who had…

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November 24, 2025

The Platform segment gross margin puzzle for FY26

By Vasily Karasyov

We believe that at this point the drivers of Platform revenue growth in FY26 are fairly well understood. We believe, however, that the Street has less visibility into the gross margin profile of each of…

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October 31, 2025

Updating estimates following Q3 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q3 FY25 report. We are raising our 12 month price target to $135. Q4 FY25 We expect Platform revenue of $1,90m and gross profit of $619m, Devices revenue of $161m…

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October 30, 2025

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Q3 results and the Q4 guide are supportive of the longer-term story but can prove to be not strong enough not to pressure the stock in the short term. We estimate the Platform segment revenue…

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September 2, 2025

One more Platform revenue growth driver to keep in mind

By Vasily Karasyov

In this note we take a closer look at a potential driver of Platform revenue growth that currently seems overshadowed by ROKU’s integration with DSPs. We believe that video advertising on the home screen, now…

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August 4, 2025

Updating estimates following Q2 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q2 FY25 report. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. Q3 FY25 We expect Platform revenue of $1,055m and gross profit of $538m, Devices revenue of $150m and gross profit…

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July 31, 2025

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Q2 results and the guide look in line with bulls’ expectations going into the print. Video advertising revenue came in better than the company’s expectations which should give the Street more conviction in estimates going…

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May 17, 2025

What the company is really telling us about FY25

By Vasily Karasyov

We believe that Roku’s updated guidance for the Platform segment’s gross margin in FY25 has positive implications for the revenue trajectory this year. Our analysis, detailed below, suggests that the change came as a result…

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May 2, 2025

Updating estimates following Q1 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q1 FY25 report. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. Q2 FY25 We expect Platform revenue of $941m and gross profit of $479m, Devices revenue of $130m and gross profit…

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May 1, 2025

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Q1 results in line, full FY25 for Platform revenue reaffirmed, some softness is now expected in the Devices segment due to the tariffs backdrop. We see the print as somewhat mixed with (i) no guide-down…

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February 15, 2025

Updating estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q4 FY24 report. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. Q1 FY25 We expect Platform revenue of $876m and gross profit of $463m, Devices revenue of $127m and gross profit…

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