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December 23, 2025

Adjusting FY26 estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are lowering our FY26 estimates to reflect the current operating trends. Our Q4 FY25 estimates are unchanged. Q4 FY25: We are modeling Measurement revenue of $69m, Activation revenue of $122m; our forecast for Supply-side revenue…

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December 18, 2025

Introducing Q1 FY26 estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are introducing Q1 FY26 estimates. Our price target and rating remain unchanged. We currently expect RDDT to report the following results: Q4 FY25: Average Daily Uniques (DAUq) of 119m; $623m in advertising and $37m in…

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December 5, 2025

A less visible, though significant tailwind for APP and U

By Vasily Karasyov

Our analysis indicates that APP’s AppDiscovery and U’s Unity Vector are benefiting from an industry-wide shift in how game publishers calculate LTV. In this note, we highlight the benefit of growing in-app advertising (IAA) spend…

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December 2, 2025

Updating estimates following Q3 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model to reflect Q3 results and the most recent guidance. we are raising our twelve-month price target to $792 to reflect the updated forecast. Our estimates are: Q4 FY25: We expect…

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