September 19, 2023
We are updating our model to reflect Q2 results and the new guidance. We are lowering our twelve month price target to $8.50 due to lower estimates and the target EV/Adjusted Ebitda multiple. For Q3…
September 18, 2023
We are initiating coverage of U at the time when the company is undergoing a business model transformation following the acquisition of IS in November last year. In our view, for the stock to work…
August 13, 2023
If, as we expect, AXON 2 continues to drive revenue growth acceleration in the coming quarters, the current valuation multiple of 11x EV/FY24E Adjusted Ebitda will have to expand, in our view. The most likely…
August 10, 2023
We see the following main take aways from Q2 results and the management’s commentary: (i) the business is going well across the board, (ii) the company’s competitive position in the programmatic value chain is getting…
August 9, 2023
We believe the the guidance for Q3 revenue implies revenue ex-political growth acceleration to 25% from 23%. AS was the case in Q1, the guide may seem a touch more conservative than the Street is…
August 9, 2023
We are updating our model to reflect Q2 results and the guidance for Q3. We are lowering our price target to $7 and maintain Neutral rating. Q3 FY23: Smart TV shipments of 1.0m, Device segment revenue…
August 8, 2023
Device shipments and financials in line with expectations, Platform+ ahead but strength in advertising was telegraphed by the management during the quarter plus ROKU results were a decent read-through. Guidance looks soft but may reflect…
August 8, 2023
We don’t think that anyone doubts at this point that the company successfully transformed its business model to digital and that the digital-only subscribers goal is doable. The success of this transition was a bull…
August 8, 2023
Digital-only subs only slightly worse than expected but ad revenue and Ebitda well ahead, digital-only ARPU up Q/Q and Y/Y as expected plus a solid guidance for Q3. Looks like the stock should get credit…
August 2, 2023
We think yesterday’s stock price reaction will prove to be a buying opportunity. In our view, the question after Q2 print is: was it a view-changing event? We don’t believe that an in-line quarter and…
July 31, 2023
Total revenue is only ~$133m ahead of our estimate which is a smaller beat than usual with Activation revenue ahead nicely but Measurement revenue softer than expected. Adjusted Ebitda is better. Full year guidance unchanged….
July 28, 2023
We are updating our model following Q2 results. We are raising our price target to $94 to reflect updated estimates and the current EV/Gross Profit multiple and maintain Neutral rating. Our updated estimates are: Q3…
July 27, 2023
Another beat in the Platform segment. It seems that the forward commentary in the Shareholder Letter is a touch more optimistic this quarter: in addition to the now usual language about the macro uncertainty it…
July 19, 2023
We are updating the assumptions underlying our estimates for Q3 and Q4 to reflect the current advertising trends and the potential impact of the writers’ and actors’ strikes. As a result, our estimates for Platform…
July 6, 2023
We are updating our estimates ahead of Q1 FY24 report. Introducing Q1 FY24 estimates We expect subscription revenue of $120m, marketplace & other revenue of $27m and total company revenue of $147m. We are modeling…