July 28, 2023
We are updating our model following Q2 results. We are raising our price target to $94 to reflect updated estimates and the current EV/Gross Profit multiple and maintain Neutral rating. Our updated estimates are: Q3…
July 27, 2023
Another beat in the Platform segment. It seems that the forward commentary in the Shareholder Letter is a touch more optimistic this quarter: in addition to the now usual language about the macro uncertainty it…
July 6, 2023
We are updating our estimates ahead of Q1 FY24 report. Introducing Q1 FY24 estimates We expect subscription revenue of $120m, marketplace & other revenue of $27m and total company revenue of $147m. We are modeling…
May 24, 2023
We think that the results and the guidance for Q1 and full FY24 are better than feared following the management’s comments on the previous earnings call. The Marketplace revenue line which is levered to the…
May 15, 2023
We are updating our model to reflect Q1 results and the guidance for Q2. Our revised price target of $36 is based on the current EV/FY24 Adjusted Ebitda multiple of 23x applied to our FY25…
May 10, 2023
Another solid quarter from DV. We expect conviction in estimates to continue building throughout the year, the forecast and guidance look beatable at this point, and comps get easier in Q3 and Q4. Activation revenue…
May 10, 2023
Expectations were high heading into the print and the results prove they weren’t wrong. The revenue guidance is 4% above our estimates but 1% above the consensus which may seem like a disappointment for TTD….
May 10, 2023
We are updating our model to reflect Q1 results and the guidance for Q2. Our estimates for Q2 FY23 are: 9,226K digital-only subs at quarter end Digital-only subscription revenue of $271m Total subscription revenue of…
May 10, 2023
We are updating our model to reflect Q1 results and the guidance for Q2. Q2 FY23: Smart TV shipments of 1.0m, Device segment revenue of $253m and gross profit of $0m, Platform+ revenue of $136m,…
May 10, 2023
Worse than expected digital advertising revenue and continued Y/Y decline in Q2 is where bears will probably focus today. On the bright side, digital-only subs net adds seem to be run-rating at around 200K a…
May 9, 2023
When the company gave guidance for Q1 in the last earnings report it was seen as soft but it’s paying off now. Platform+ better than expected with Device results light. Deceleration in advertising revenue growth…
April 28, 2023
We are updating our model to reflect Q1 results and the guidance for Q2. We are trimming our price target to $62.50 and maintain Neutral rating. Q2 FY23: We expect Platform revenue of $666m and…
April 27, 2023
We are updating our model ahead of Q1 report. Our revised12 month price target of 440 is based on 16x EV/FY25 Adjusted Ebitda; we maintain Neutral rating. Our estimates for Q1 FY23 are: 9,053 digital-only…
April 26, 2023
A beat across the board and revenue guide in line with the consensus unlike what we saw in previous quarters. A couple of things stand out. First, assuming Device revenue seasonality in line with last…
March 1, 2023
Q4 results ahead of expectations, guidance for Q1 and full FY23 (!) in line with the consensus but light compared to our Street-high forecast. Although not the usual beat-and-raise, we think the stock should get…