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December 2, 2025

Updating estimates following Q3 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model to reflect Q3 results and the most recent guidance. we are raising our twelve-month price target to $792 to reflect the updated forecast. Our estimates are: Q4 FY25: We expect…

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November 12, 2025

Updating estimates following Q3 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q3 FY25. For Q4 FY25, we expect Connected TV revenue of $88m, Desktop revenue of $32m and Mobile revenue of $76m. We expect total revenue of $196m, Adjusted Ebitda…

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November 12, 2025

Updating estimates following Q3 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q3 FY25. For Q4 FY25, we expect Connected TV revenue of $88m, Desktop revenue of $32m and Mobile revenue of $76m. We expect total revenue of $196m, Adjusted Ebitda…

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November 10, 2025

Updating estimates following Q3 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates to reflect Q3 results and the latest guidance for FY25. We are adjusting our price target to $12.50 to reflect the updated estimates and the currentl valuation. We now expect…

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November 7, 2025

Updating estimates following Q3 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q3 report. We are now modeling Q4 revenue of $841m, Adjusted Ebitda of $375m and adjusted diluted EPS of$0.62. We expect FY26 revenue of $3,392m, Adjusted Ebitda of $1,381m…

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November 6, 2025

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Q3 looks like a quarter the Street was used to before Q4 FY24 print. In our view, earnings reports like this will ultimately lead to a re-rating. On the call we will be looking for…

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November 5, 2025

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Looks like Unity Vector is working. Grow segment revenue up 11% Q/Q implying Unity Vector probaly growing at around double that rate (will look for clarity on the call). The Q4 guide for Grow revenue…

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November 1, 2025

Updating estimates following Q3 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model following Q3 FY25 report. Our price target and rating remain unchanged. We currently expect RDDT to report the following results: Q4 FY25: Average Daily Uniques (DAUq) of 119m; $623m in advertising…

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October 31, 2025

Updating estimates following Q3 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q3 FY25 report. We are raising our 12 month price target to $135. Q4 FY25 We expect Platform revenue of $1,90m and gross profit of $619m, Devices revenue of $161m…

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October 30, 2025

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Q3 results and the Q4 guide are supportive of the longer-term story but can prove to be not strong enough not to pressure the stock in the short term. We estimate the Platform segment revenue…

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October 22, 2025

Updating estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model ahead of Q2 FY26 report. We maintain our Neutral rating and adjust our price target to $30 to reflect the updated estimates and the prevailing valuation multiple. Q2 FY26: We expect…

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August 12, 2025

Updating estimates following Q2 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model to reflect Q2 results. We are raising our price target to $38 to reflect the recent valuation multiple expansion, our rating remains unchanged. We now expect the following results: Q3…

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August 12, 2025

Updating estimates following Q2 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model to reflect Q1 results and the sale of the Apps business. Our updated estimates are: Q3 FY25: We expect total company revenue of $1,335m and Adjusted Ebitda of $1,081m. We…

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August 11, 2025

Updating estimates following Q2 FY25 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q2 report. We are lowering our price target to $70 to reflect the current EV/Adjusted Ebitda multiple. We are now modeling Q3 revenue of $717m, Adjusted Ebitda of $277m…

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August 7, 2025

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

A challenging combination of high expectations at the end of the earnings season and the new CFO announcement. Looks like bulls will have to wait for Q3 results to see their case play out. We…

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