Company Notes


January 20, 2025

Trying this one more time

By Vasily Karasyov

In our view ROKU’s business performance and the stock price diverged last year. We believe that this year, ROKU is even better positioned to take advantage of industry-wide tailwinds. Additionally, FY24 highlighted the durability of…

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January 12, 2025

FY25 should be more straightforward than it looks

By Vasily Karasyov

The unveiling of the Ventura TV OS and, to lesser degree the announcement of the partnership with Spotify added dimensions to the TTD story that are unlikely to matter for the businesses performance in FY25,…

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December 2, 2024

What APP can tell us about the ad revenue growth potential

By Vasily Karasyov

We believe at this point it’s clear that advertising revenue as opposed to data licensing is and will be the main revenue growth driver. In this note we argue that performance advertising solutions (RDDT refers…

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November 17, 2024

The push into e-commerce: why and how

By Vasily Karasyov

We think that FY25 will be an especially important year for the APP story. The launch of AXON 2 in FY23 and the resulting revenue ramp drove continued upward estimates revisions and a steady valuation…

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October 7, 2024

Acceleration of Platform revenue growth looks very doable

By Vasily Karasyov

In this note we show that an acceleration in Platform revenue growth in FY25 looks doable given the growth trajectory of the existing revenue streams and the opportunity presented by the partnership with TTD and…

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September 18, 2024

The size and potential of shopper marketing is still not fully understood

By Vasily Karasyov

We believe that the current revenue contribution as well as the growth potential of TTD’s shopper marketing business is still not fully understood at this point. We estimate that shopper marketing is on track to…

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September 13, 2024

Good news re: ad revenue growth structure

By Vasily Karasyov

Our Buy thesis is predicated on the argument that the recent and continuing product and monetization improvements will result in upside to the current consensus estimates. In this note we show that, according to our…

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July 31, 2024

Better, but still a way to go; the story keeps evolving

By Vasily Karasyov

We think that in addition to the obvious task of proving that it can deliver on the guidance, DV is facing an additional challenge. It appears that the growth drivers are shifting and, as a…

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June 24, 2024

Pieces that can drive Grow Solutions segment’s recovery

By Vasily Karasyov

This is a corrected version of the note published today at 11:14am ET. Our price target and rating remain unchanged. We argue that: (i) Create Solutions revenue growth acceleration is a necessary but not a…

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June 24, 2024

Pieces that can drive Grow Solutions segment’s recovery

By Vasily Karasyov

We argue that: (i) Create Solutions revenue growth acceleration is a necessary but not a sufficient condition for the stock price recovery; (ii) without an improvement in the top line trend at Grow Solutions, especially…

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June 2, 2024

Upgrading to Buy; the sentiment bottomed, room for upside to estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are upgrading MGNI shares to Buy from Neutral and raising our 12 month price target to $17. We believe that the negative sentiment that weighed on the stock prior to the announcement of the…

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April 29, 2024

CEO & CFO Non-Deal Roadshow on May 9th

By Vasily Karasyov

Michael G. Barrett – President and CEO, David Day – CFO, Nick Kormeluk – SVP, IR. Please reply to this email to submit interest.

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April 17, 2024

CEO & CFO NDR on May 10th

By Vasily Karasyov

1×1 and small group virtual meetings with Mark Zagorsky, CEO; Nicola Allais, CFO; Tejal Engman, SVP, IR. Click to submit interest

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March 24, 2024

News from DIS support ROKU bull case; a couple of points on FY24;

By Vasily Karasyov

Our Buy thesis is based on our belief that the estimates are beatable at this point and the stock price will go up after beat and raise quarters. The bear arguments that have weighed on…

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March 17, 2024

This valuation looks extreme

By Vasily Karasyov

We continue to believe that APP is on the way to an eventual re-rating given the expected three-year Adjusted Ebitda CAGR of 25%, improving mobile gaming ad spending trends, and strengthening competitive position. In this…

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