Unity Software Inc


March 25, 2025

The recovery math and optics

By Vasily Karasyov

We view FY25 as a pivotal year for U. A successful rollout of Unity Vector throughout the year could drive accelerated top-line growth, expand Adjusted EBITDA margins, and trigger a stock re-rating. As the Street…

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February 24, 2025

Updating estimates following Q3 FY24 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model to reflect Q4 results. We are raising our price target to $29 and maintain Neutral rating. We now expect the following results: Q1 FY25: We are modeling Create Solutions revenue of…

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February 20, 2025

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Q4 results ahead of expectations but the guide for Q1 is light. Assuming flat Q/Q Grow revenue, the implied shortfall v. our model is in the Create segment. We will be looking for more details…

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November 12, 2024

Updating estimates following Q3 FY24 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model to reflect Q3 results. We are raising our price target to $21 and maintain Neutral rating. We now expect the following results: Q4 FY24: We are modeling Create Solutions revenue of…

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September 4, 2024

Estimates update

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model to reflect Q1 results. We are lowering our price target to $17 and maintain Neutral rating. we now expect the following results: Q3 FY24: We are modeling Create Solutions revenue of…

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August 12, 2024

Updating estimates following Q2 FY24 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model to reflect Q1 results. We are lowering our price target to $17 and maintain Neutral rating. we now expect the following results: Q3 FY24: We are modeling Create Solutions revenue of…

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June 24, 2024

Pieces that can drive Grow Solutions segment’s recovery

By Vasily Karasyov

This is a corrected version of the note published today at 11:14am ET. Our price target and rating remain unchanged. We argue that: (i) Create Solutions revenue growth acceleration is a necessary but not a…

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June 24, 2024

Pieces that can drive Grow Solutions segment’s recovery

By Vasily Karasyov

We argue that: (i) Create Solutions revenue growth acceleration is a necessary but not a sufficient condition for the stock price recovery; (ii) without an improvement in the top line trend at Grow Solutions, especially…

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May 13, 2024

Updating estimates following Q1 Fy24

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model to reflect Q1 results. We are lowering our price target to $25 and maintain Neutral rating. we now expect the following results: Q2 FY24: We are modeling Create Solutions revenue…

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May 9, 2024

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

We see Q1 results as generally in line with Adjusted Ebitda ahead of estimates due to lower than expected costs, as should have been expected. Y/Y decline of 4% in Grow Solutions revenue will probably…

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February 27, 2024

Pros and cons and waiting

By Vasily Karasyov

We believe there are two main takeaways from the Q4 report. First, it’s safe to assume now that the bias to the guidance and estimates is to the upside. There may be room for improved…

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September 18, 2023

Initiating coverage

By Vasily Karasyov

We are initiating coverage of U at the time when the company is undergoing a business model transformation following the acquisition of IS in November last year. In our view, for the stock to work…

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