Roku, Inc.
February 15, 2024
The beat is not as big as the Street got used to although the guide is a little more optimistic than in recent quarters… It would be helpful to hear on the call if video…
February 13, 2024
We are introducing Q1 FY24 estimates ahead of the company’s Q4 report. Our full FY24 forecast, rating and price target remain unchanged. Q1 FY24: We expect Platform revenue of $700m and gross profit of $364m, Player…
November 26, 2023
We are upgrading ROKU shares to buy from Neutral as we now believe that room for upside to FY24 consensus forecast is enough to allow for more meaningful upward estimates revisions than we have seen…
November 2, 2023
We are updating our model to reflect Q3 results and Q4 guidance. We are adjusting our price target to $88 and Maintain Neutral rating. Our revised forecast is: Q4 FY23: We expect Platform revenue of $807m…
November 1, 2023
A beat was expected, Adjusted Ebitda guide for Q4 is probably the biggest surprise. A couple of things stand out in the Letter to Shareholders, in our view. The language about advertising trends is getting…
October 26, 2023
We are updating our model to incorporate the preannouncement issued on September 6th. We are also adjusting our price target to $63 to reflect the recent EV/Gross Profit multiple compression. Our updated estimates are: Q3…
July 28, 2023
We are updating our model following Q2 results. We are raising our price target to $94 to reflect updated estimates and the current EV/Gross Profit multiple and maintain Neutral rating. Our updated estimates are: Q3…
July 27, 2023
Another beat in the Platform segment. It seems that the forward commentary in the Shareholder Letter is a touch more optimistic this quarter: in addition to the now usual language about the macro uncertainty it…
July 19, 2023
We are updating the assumptions underlying our estimates for Q3 and Q4 to reflect the current advertising trends and the potential impact of the writers’ and actors’ strikes. As a result, our estimates for Platform…
June 12, 2023
The Street is currently focused on sizing up potential incremental revenue resulting from ROKU opening its ad inventory to outside programmatic demand. As we discuss below, this decision is unlikely to contribute materially in the…
April 28, 2023
We are updating our model to reflect Q1 results and the guidance for Q2. We are trimming our price target to $62.50 and maintain Neutral rating. Q2 FY23: We expect Platform revenue of $666m and…
April 26, 2023
A beat across the board and revenue guide in line with the consensus unlike what we saw in previous quarters. A couple of things stand out. First, assuming Device revenue seasonality in line with last…
March 24, 2023
Our analysis shows that The Roku Channel’s importance in driving video advertising revenue growth will only increase with time as ROKU’s access to third party inventory sources becomes more limited. We also believe that this…
February 17, 2023
We are updating our model to reflect Q4 results and the guidance for Q1. We are raising our price target to $79 to reflect recent EV/Gross Profit recovery. Our updated estimates are: Q1 FY23: We expect…
February 15, 2023
As expected, a replay of Q3 with a strong beat and cautions/conservative guidance and commentary on Q1 revenue trends. The shareholder letter calls out an improvement is some advertising verticals so far this year while…