Roku, Inc.


February 15, 2025

Updating estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q4 FY24 report. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. Q1 FY25 We expect Platform revenue of $876m and gross profit of $463m, Devices revenue of $127m and gross profit…

Read More >>

February 13, 2025

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

A long-expected good quarter with the results and guidance supporting the bull thesis. The Platform segment gross margin of 54.1% hints at another ASC 606 adjustment. ROKU provides guidance for full FY2025 for revenue above…

Read More >>

January 20, 2025

Trying this one more time

By Vasily Karasyov

In our view ROKU’s business performance and the stock price diverged last year. We believe that this year, ROKU is even better positioned to take advantage of industry-wide tailwinds. Additionally, FY24 highlighted the durability of…

Read More >>

October 31, 2024

Updating estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q3 report. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. Q4 FY24: We expect Platform revenue of $945m and gross profit of $500m, Devices revenue of $194m and gross profit of…

Read More >>

October 30, 2024

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Lots of moving pieces against the backdrop of elevated expectations, we think the call will bring more clarity. The guidance for 14% Platform revenue growth in Q4 implies a ~1% deceleration v. Q3 but Q3…

Read More >>

October 7, 2024

Acceleration of Platform revenue growth looks very doable

By Vasily Karasyov

In this note we show that an acceleration in Platform revenue growth in FY25 looks doable given the growth trajectory of the existing revenue streams and the opportunity presented by the partnership with TTD and…

Read More >>

August 2, 2024

Updating estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q2 report. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. Q3 FY24: We expect Platform revenue of $851m and gross profit of $463m, Devices revenue of $159m and gross profit of…

Read More >>

August 1, 2024

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Another quarter of beating the estimates and guiding to basically in-line revenue in Q3. A few things stand out: (i) the Shareholder Letter this time highlights initiatives to accelerate Platform revenue growth; (ii) The Roku…

Read More >>

April 26, 2024

Updating estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q4 report. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. Q2 FY24: We expect Platform revenue of $804m and gross profit of $426m, Devices revenue of $131m and gross profit of…

Read More >>

April 25, 2024

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

A beat but the Q2 guide looks somewhat cautious again for what it’s worth. A couple of less obvious points that stand out. First, The Roku Channel now is now the #3 app on the…

Read More >>

March 24, 2024

News from DIS support ROKU bull case; a couple of points on FY24;

By Vasily Karasyov

Our Buy thesis is based on our belief that the estimates are beatable at this point and the stock price will go up after beat and raise quarters. The bear arguments that have weighed on…

Read More >>

February 22, 2024

Updating estimates following Q4 FY23 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q4 report. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. Q1 FY24: We expect Platform revenue of $722m and gross profit of $376m, Devices revenue of $129m and gross profit of…

Read More >>

February 15, 2024

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

The beat is not as big as the Street got used to although the guide is a little more optimistic than in recent quarters… It would be helpful to hear on the call if video…

Read More >>

February 13, 2024

Introducing Q1 FY24 estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are introducing Q1 FY24 estimates ahead of the company’s Q4 report. Our full FY24 forecast, rating and price target remain unchanged. Q1 FY24: We expect Platform revenue of $700m and gross profit of $364m, Player…

Read More >>

November 26, 2023

Upgrading to Buy

By Vasily Karasyov

We are upgrading ROKU shares to buy from Neutral as we now believe that room for upside to FY24 consensus forecast is enough to allow for more meaningful upward estimates revisions than we have seen…

Read More >>