Reddit, Inc.


March 18, 2025

Tweaking EPS estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimate of stock-based compensation for Q1 to reflect the management’s comments. As a result, our GAAP EPS estimates for Q1 and FY25 move lower while the rest of the estimates remain…

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February 15, 2025

Updating estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model following Q4 FY24 report. We are also raising our price target to $244 to reflect revised estimates. We currently expect RDDT to report the following results: Q1 FY25: Average Daily Uniques…

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February 2, 2025

From limited visibility to high expectations

By Vasily Karasyov

The current valuation means, in our view, that the market is giving RDDT credit for growth opportunities and execution upfront. This means that if RDDT delivers on expectations in the course of FY25, the current…

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December 2, 2024

What APP can tell us about the ad revenue growth potential

By Vasily Karasyov

We believe at this point it’s clear that advertising revenue as opposed to data licensing is and will be the main revenue growth driver. In this note we argue that performance advertising solutions (RDDT refers…

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November 4, 2024

Model update

By Vasily Karasyov

We currently expect RDDT to report the following results: Full FY25: Advertising revenue of $1,454m, other revenue of $143m and total revenue of $1,597m. We are modeling Adjusted Ebitda of $397m. We expect GAAP diluted EPS…

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October 30, 2024

Updating estimates following Q3 FY24 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q3 FY24 report. We are raising out price target to $135 to reflect the updated estimates and the current valuation multiple. We currently expect RDDT to report the following…

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October 29, 2024

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

We think Q3 results will go a long way in giving the Street incremental conviction in the growth trajectory going forward. Performance advertising revenue growth re-accelerated implying monetization initiatives launched last year continue to yield…

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September 13, 2024

Good news re: ad revenue growth structure

By Vasily Karasyov

Our Buy thesis is predicated on the argument that the recent and continuing product and monetization improvements will result in upside to the current consensus estimates. In this note we show that, according to our…

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August 13, 2024

Updating estimates following Q2 FY24 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q2 FY24 report. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. We currently expect RDDT to report the following results: Q3 FY24: Average Daily Uniques (DAUq) of 96m; $275m in advertising…

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August 6, 2024

Initiating coverage

By Vasily Karasyov

We are initiating coverage of RDDT with a Buy rating and 12 month price target of $67. Our thesis is straightforward: we believe that the recent and continuing product and monetization improvements will drive upside…

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