DoubleVerify


November 8, 2024

Model update following Q3 FY24 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating estimates following Q3 FY24 report. Q4 FY24: We are modeling Measurement revenue of $68m, up 13% Y/Y, Activation revenue of $113m which implies 14% growth v. last year; our forecast for Supply-side revenue…

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July 31, 2024

Better, but still a way to go; the story keeps evolving

By Vasily Karasyov

We think that in addition to the obvious task of proving that it can deliver on the guidance, DV is facing an additional challenge. It appears that the growth drivers are shifting and, as a…

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July 30, 2024

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Looks like Q2 print may be the first step in the turnaround of DV story. We would like to hear the management’s comments on the problem customers and early thoughts on what growth could be…

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June 28, 2024

Model update

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates ahead of Q2 report. We are adjusting our price target to $23 and maintain Buy rating. Q2 FY24: We are modeling Measurement revenue of $54m, up 19% Y/Y, Activation revenue…

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May 7, 2024

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

We are hosting an NDR with Mark S. Zagorski – CEO, Nicola Allais – CFO, and Tejal R. Engman – SVP, IR on May 10th Please click to register Q2 guidance below expectations, full FY24…

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April 17, 2024

CEO & CFO NDR on May 10th

By Vasily Karasyov

1×1 and small group virtual meetings with Mark Zagorsky, CEO; Nicola Allais, CFO; Tejal Engman, SVP, IR. Click to submit interest

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March 1, 2024

Things have changed, the thesis has to change, too

By Vasily Karasyov

In our view, FY23 showed that the Buy thesis based on expectations of smooth, steady growth not subject to overall ad spend fluctuations is no longer applicable. It appears that the evolution of DV’s business…

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February 28, 2024

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

In-line results with a weak Q1 guide. Seasonality implied by the guidance looks different than what the management talked about on the Q3 call. Pricing was up Y/Y in Q4. Commentary on the call will…

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December 21, 2023

Introducing Q1 FY24 estimates

By Vasily Karasyov

We are introducing Q1 FY24 estimates. Our rating and price target remain unchanged. Q1 FY24: We are modeling $48m in Measurement revenue, $84m in activation and $12m in Supply-side revenue. Our Adjusted Ebitda forecast is $39m…

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November 13, 2023

Model update

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our estimates following Q3 report. Our Buy rating and price target of $44 remain unchanged. Our latest estimates are: Q4 FY23: We are modeling $61m in Measurement revenue, $99m in activation and…

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September 26, 2023

BUY; the recent bear case should be put to rest soon

By Vasily Karasyov

We think that the deterioration in sentiment around DV since the company reported Q2 (EV/FY24 Adjusted Ebitda contracted by one third) created a buying opportunity. We argue today that the bear case which emerged after…

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August 2, 2023

Not a view-changing event; reiterate BUY

By Vasily Karasyov

We think yesterday’s stock price reaction will prove to be a buying opportunity. In our view, the question after Q2 print is: was it a view-changing event? We don’t believe that an in-line quarter and…

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July 31, 2023

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Total revenue is only ~$133m ahead of our estimate which is a smaller beat than usual with Activation revenue ahead nicely but Measurement revenue softer than expected. Adjusted Ebitda is better. Full year guidance unchanged….

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May 15, 2023

Estimates update following Q1 FY23 report

By Vasily Karasyov

We are updating our model to reflect Q1 results and the guidance for Q2. Our revised price target of $36 is based on the current EV/FY24 Adjusted Ebitda multiple of 23x applied to our FY25…

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May 10, 2023

FIRST LOOK

By Vasily Karasyov

Another solid quarter from DV. We expect conviction in estimates to continue building throughout the year, the forecast and guidance look beatable at this point, and comps get easier in Q3 and Q4. Activation revenue…

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