November 9, 2023
In our view, there are two main takeaways form Q3 results. First, there is little doubt that Q4 guidance is beatable. Second, the main question is by how much and what does it mean for…
November 8, 2023
The Software Platform delivered a blowout quarter, the guide seems to imply further acceleration in Y/Y revenue growth to >80% in Q4. This is the first full quarter of AXON 2 and the segment added…
November 8, 2023
We think that Q3 results and the guidance for Q4 illustrate well our thesis that neither bull nor bear case is likely to emerge as long as the current operating trends continue. On the positive…
November 8, 2023
Digital-only subs generally in-line with what we modeled, digital advertising revenue on the high end of the guidance and operating costs as expected. Digital-only ARPU up Q/Q 1.4% which what bulls want to see. Guidance…
November 2, 2023
We are updating our model to reflect Q3 results and Q4 guidance. We are adjusting our price target to $88 and Maintain Neutral rating. Our revised forecast is: Q4 FY23: We expect Platform revenue of $807m…
November 1, 2023
A beat was expected, Adjusted Ebitda guide for Q4 is probably the biggest surprise. A couple of things stand out in the Letter to Shareholders, in our view. The language about advertising trends is getting…
October 26, 2023
We are updating our model to incorporate the preannouncement issued on September 6th. We are also adjusting our price target to $63 to reflect the recent EV/Gross Profit multiple compression. Our updated estimates are: Q3…
October 9, 2023
We think that Q3 results will highlight strengthening revenue trends at the Software Platform segment driven by AXON upgrade and easier comps for the key metrics, as we show below. We continue to believe that the…
September 27, 2023
We are updating our estimates ahead of Q2FY24 report. We are raising our price target to $28 to reflect the recent prevailing trading EV/Sales multiple. Q2 FY24: We expect subscription revenue of $124m, marketplace &…
September 26, 2023
We think that the deterioration in sentiment around DV since the company reported Q2 (EV/FY24 Adjusted Ebitda contracted by one third) created a buying opportunity. We argue today that the bear case which emerged after…
September 19, 2023
We are updating our model to reflect Q2 results and the new guidance. We are lowering our twelve month price target to $8.50 due to lower estimates and the target EV/Adjusted Ebitda multiple. For Q3…
September 18, 2023
We are initiating coverage of U at the time when the company is undergoing a business model transformation following the acquisition of IS in November last year. In our view, for the stock to work…
August 13, 2023
If, as we expect, AXON 2 continues to drive revenue growth acceleration in the coming quarters, the current valuation multiple of 11x EV/FY24E Adjusted Ebitda will have to expand, in our view. The most likely…
August 10, 2023
We see the following main take aways from Q2 results and the management’s commentary: (i) the business is going well across the board, (ii) the company’s competitive position in the programmatic value chain is getting…
August 9, 2023
We believe the the guidance for Q3 revenue implies revenue ex-political growth acceleration to 25% from 23%. AS was the case in Q1, the guide may seem a touch more conservative than the Street is…